What Is the Next Great Technology?
What is the next great technology?
I focus on AI investing, and my other half @FrankDPrestia focuses on AI technology and infrastructure. He’s an AI strategist and innovation theorist.
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The future economy: 8 infrastructure sectors for the next decade
THE FUTURE ECONOMY – MAPPED Everyone’s arguing about which stock wins. 8 sectors – the infrastructure the next decade actually runs on PHOTONICS -> light kills copper $CRDO $SIVE $AAOI AI INFRASTRUCTURE -> the compute buildout $IREN · $NBIS $DGXX
Built to grow: 12 companies and FY2026e revenue growth
12 companies built to grow revenue tremendously over the next three years. Not the mega-caps everyone owns. The layers underneath them, across compute, photonics, energy, physical AI and space. Growth rates below. Stay to the end for the part that actually matters: what you pay for it.
The next decade of AI, mapped by what must physically exist at each stage
McKinsey, Goldman, PwC and Gartner publish the forecasts. Almost nobody maps them to the layers that must be built first. That’s the part investors can underwrite. 2026 is enterprise scale: roughly $725B of infrastructure spend, with tokens acting like refined electricity. The spend flows through $NVDA, $AVGO and $TSM, then lands on power and land…
The neocloud stack: three layers, three different trades
The neocloud stack. Three layers, and the market just spent six weeks proving they are not one trade. The cloud layer sells the compute: $NBIS $CRWV $WYFI. Highest growth, highest multiple, and the layer that took the Meta headline directly to the chin. When your customer can become your competitor, the multiple carries that risk….
The AI power value chain: fuel to rack
The AI power value chain, fuel to rack. Five stages, and every one is a bottleneck somebody owns. Fuel comes first. Uranium demand is a decade contract, not a trade. CCJ and BWXT sit at the front of the chain, where the clock is measured in reactors and long-term procurement. Firm generation is the next…
