BEATS ARE GETTING SOLD. MISSES ARE GETTING CRUSHED.
$APP: down 28% on a 1% miss
$DDOG: down 18% on a beat AND raise
Long into a print and not sure? Collar it. What I did on $AAOI today, earnings tonight:
Keep the shares
Buy the $110 put, 2 weeks out (Aug 21)
THE FUTURE ECONOMY – MAPPED Everyone’s arguing about which stock wins. 8 sectors – the infrastructure the next decade actually runs on PHOTONICS -> light kills copper $CRDO $SIVE $AAOI AI INFRASTRUCTURE -> the compute buildout $IREN ยท $NBIS $DGXX
12 companies built to grow revenue tremendously over the next three years. Not the mega-caps everyone owns. The layers underneath them, across compute, photonics, energy, physical AI and space. Growth rates below. Stay to the end for the part that actually matters: what you pay for it.
AI’s bottleneck is no longer chips. It is power, and the grid is tapped out. Gas turbines: backordered to 2030. Nuclear: a decade out. Solar plus storage: built in months. $TE builds both on US soil, and demand for its 2027 to 2028 output already exceeds everything it can make.
Multiples don’t re-rate when the business changes. They re-rate when the market finally rewrites the label. Fifteen names still filed under what they used to be: miner, SPAC, camera chips, satellite hardware. The business moved. The bucket didn’t. The gap between the label and the reality is the setup. RE-RATE WATCHLIST The market is often…
AI isn’t a sector. Crypto isn’t a sector. Software isn’t a sector. They’re one circuit, and the tickers are just where you plug in. Here’s the circuit: ENERGY feeds it: $BE $VST $TE Electrons are the raw material. Substations take years, so this is where the shortage lives. COMPUTE runs on it: $IREN $NBIS $CIFR…
McKinsey, Goldman, PwC and Gartner publish the forecasts. Almost nobody maps them to the layers that must be built first. That’s the part investors can underwrite. 2026 is enterprise scale: roughly $725B of infrastructure spend, with tokens acting like refined electricity. The spend flows through $NVDA, $AVGO and $TSM, then lands on power and land…
